Taiwan Lowers 2013 GDP Growth Forecast Despite First Quarter Expansion

Taiwan lowers GDP forecast for this year even after faster-than-expected expansion in the first quarter. (Maurice Tsai/Bloomberg)

Taiwan lowers GDP forecast for this year even after faster-than-expected expansion in the first quarter. (Maurice Tsai/Bloomberg)

Chinmei Sung from Bloomberg reports that Taiwan lowered the economic growth forecast for this year even as it reported a faster expansion in the first quarter than initially estimated.

Gross domestic product rose 1.67 percent in the three months through March from a year earlier, the statistics bureau said in a revised estimate released in Taipei today. Its preliminary report last month was 1.54 percent, while the median in a Bloomberg News survey of 18 economists was 1.5 percent.

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Cross-Strait Pact: New Day for Taiwanese Investors?

For Taiwanese companies, mainland China has long been both boon and bane: Factories and other investments in the mainland are crucial to their success, yet their rights in legal disputes there have been somewhat hazy.

Beijing tried to ease Taiwanese businesses’ concerns last week by signing a new investor protection agreement with Taipei. It lays out avenues for resolving disputes between Taiwanese investors and mainland companies and government entities.

But as with many things in China, the value of this agreement for Taiwanese will depend more on Beijing’s implementation than the wording. The new dispute resolution mechanism also requires the Taiwanese and mainland companies to first agree on an arbitration method, which analysts say may diminishes its practical value.

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Taiwan economy shrinks in second quarter

Reported by  Sarah Mishkin in Taipei-Taiwan’s economy shrank slightly in the second quarter, a far worse performance than expected, as falling demand dragged on exports.

The economy contracted 0.16 per cent year on year, according to figures released on Tuesday. Analysts had expected a 0.5 per cent expansion, according to a survey conducted by Bloomberg.

The disappointing data “reflect the slowdown of global demand”, the government’s statistics and budget authority said in a statement. The department also cut its growth estimate for 2012 to 2.1 per cent, from 3 per cent. Last quarter, the economy grew 0.4 per cent year on year.

Taiwan has struggled with limited success to rise above sluggish global growth. Slow sales of PCs and smartphones have been a drag on the economy, which depends on electronics and communications technology for half its exports.

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Global Economy: Crash or Gradual Slowdown?

Catherine Boyle of the CNBC have reported on the Global Economy.

The debate over whether the world’s economy is facing a dramatic crash has gained traction in recent weeks, as the euro zone debt crisis continued to dominate headlines and worries about other major economies like the U.S. and China grew.

Bearish forecasts from people like hedge fund manager Hugh Hendry and “The New Depression” author Richard Duncanhave grabbed attention. But there are still many who believe that the world is facing gradual change rather than the rapid tumble of a crash.

“This isn’t a crash in a conventional sense, but a structural down-move in global growth. It’s a new and lower trend,” Paul Donovan, deputy head of global economics at UBS Investment Bank, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” Wednesday. “We are going through one of the biggest structural changes that we have seen in the global economy since the 1971-73 process.”

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China’s Wen Vows Job Creation as Growth Slows

Reutor

Reutors have reported on China’s job market.

China’s job market could turn for the worse and the government needs to step up efforts to create more jobs, Premier Wen Jiabao said in remarks published on Wednesday, underscoring official concerns about an economic slowdown.

“Currently and in the future, China’s employment situation will become more complex and more severe,” the official China Securities Journal quoted Wen as saying.

“The task of promoting full employment will be very heavy and we must make greater efforts to achieve it,” he added.

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Taiwan’s Big Brand Problem

Tomohiro Ohsumi

HTC, the Taiwanese company that is one of the leading makers of Android-powered smartphones, is the controlling shareholder in Beats Electronics, the Santa Monica (Calif.)-based producer of high-end headphones founded by rap producer Dr. Dre and Jimmy Iovine, the chairman of Interscope, Geffen and A&M. You wouldn’t know that, though, from the statement Beats issued on July 2 announcing its acquisition of MOG, an on-demand music service. The announcement trumpets the importance of the deal for Beats—and does not mention that the California company is part of HTC, which bought control of Beats last year.

The omission is just a small indicator of a problem that HTC and other Taiwanese companies face as they try to survive as consumer brands. Taiwan is an important part of the global economy, thanks largely to its electronics industry, and the backbone of the industry has long been companies that produce computers, chips, displays and other components for others. The classic example of a Taiwanese company that does this sort of work in the background, without putting its own brand on the finished goods, is Foxconn, which makes iPhones and iPads for Apple.

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Muddy Waters Stigma Means $1 Billion Cost to Exit U.S.

China Development Bank Corp., the state-owned lender charged with strengthening the country’s competitiveness, is providing more than $1 billion to help smaller companies leave the U.S. stock market.

The nation’s biggest policy lender has offered funding so Fushi Copperweld Inc. (FSIN), a Beijing-based wire maker listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market, can buy back its shares from the public, the company said last month. China TransInfo Technology Corp. (CTFO) said June 8 it would drop its U.S. listing with CDB financing. The bank has provided more funding than any other lender to help the nation’s companies exit the world’s biggest equity market, according to Roth Capital Partners, which specializes in emerging markets.

While more than 60 Chinese companies joined U.S. exchanges in the three years through 2011, only one listed this year after those with market capitalizations of less than $500 million lost 53 percent of their market value. The crash began in June 2011, when Muddy Waters LLC, a short-selling firm, raised concerns about accounting and corporate-governance standards at Chinese companies by accusing Sino-Forest Corp., a timber company that traded on the Toronto exchange, of exaggerating its assets.

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Indofood CBP to set up beverage venture with Asahi

Japanese beverage group Asahi (2502.T) is betting on an Indonesian sweet tooth in a joint venture with PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk (ICBP.JK) worth up to 2 trillion rupiah ($213.11 million) to make non-alcoholic drinks.

“The beverage market is expected to grow more than double by 2020 from $4 billion in 2011. That’s why we invest in a joint venture with Indofood,” said Naoki Izumiya, president and representative director of the Asahi Group.

Indofood CBP, part of Salim Group, is led by Anthony Salim, the heir of the late Indonesian richest tycoon Sudono Salim or Liem Soe Liong who passed away last month. Anthony is the third-richest Indonesian with a net worth of $8.5 billion, Globe Asia magazine said.

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Japan’s biggest banks target Korean conglomerates for growth

Japanese banks, facing sluggish loan demand at home, are increasingly targeting South Korea where conglomerates such as Samsung Electronics (005930.KS) and Hyundai Motor (005380.KS) are seeking funds to expand globally.

With rival European lenders retreating as the region’s debt crisis heads towards its fourth year, well-capitalized Japanese banks find themselves at a competitive advantage. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (8306.T), Mizuho Financial Group (8411.T) and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (8316.T) (SMFG), the country’s biggest banks, have formed teams to track the funding needs of South Korean firms looking to build chip factories and auto assembly lines abroad.

Mizuho and SMFG, jointly with Korea Development Bank and Bank of America Merrill Lynch, are providing a $184.7 million five-year loan to the Mexican unit of POSCO (005490.KS), Asia’s second-biggest steelmaker, Thomson Reuters LPC reported last month.

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China trade surplus jumps as import growth falters

China’s June trade data on Tuesday stoked anxiety about the strength of domestic demand in the world’s second biggest economy as imports rose at only half the pace expected, signaling a need for Beijing to do more to bolster growth.

Officials singled out the debt crisis in the European Union – China’s biggest trading partner – as key to Beijing’s ability to meet its 10 percent target for trade growth this year, with softening sales to the EU in the first half of 2012 seeing the United States overtake it as China’s top export destination.

Annual import growth of 6.3 percent in June fell far short of the 12.7 percent forecast by economists and the 12.7 percent achieved in May, indicating both a drop-off in domestic demand and the running down of inventories by exporters worried about the weakness of new order growth.

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