US Ambassador Urges India to Open Economy for More Foreign Investments

First woman US Ambassador to India: Nancy J. Powell

First woman US Ambassador to India: Nancy J. Powell (Photo: Ranjeet Kumar)

According to the report from India Times, US Ambassador Nancy Powell on Tuesday called for greater economic opening and more foreign investments for India’s higher economic growth, saying “there is more yet to do” in the area of reforms to return to 10 per cent growth.

Washington’s first woman ambassador to India contended that it was high tariff and non-tariff barriers that were preventing American companies, among others, from “competing” in the country. “Currently, tariff and non-tariff barriers are too high, preventing India from obtaining the latest and best technology and the most advanced equipment it needs to meet its objectives,” Powell said.

 

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India, China Agree to Take Steps to Address Trade Imbalance

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and Chinese Premier Li Keqiang address issue of trade imbalance

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and Chinese Premier Li Keqiang address issue of trade imbalance (RAVEENDRAN/AFP/Getty Images)

Economic Times | New Delhi: Targeting $ 100 billion in bilateral commerce by 2015, India and China today agreed to take steps for addressing the issue of trade imbalance through greater cooperation in areas like pharmaceutical and IT.

A joint statement issued after the meeting of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and Chinese Premier Li Keqiang said: “While striving to realise the trade turnover target of $ 100 billion by 2015, the two countries agreed to take measures to address the issue of the trade imbalance. These include cooperation on pharmaceutical supervision including registration, stronger links between Chinese enterprises and Indian IT industry, and completion of phytosanitary negotiations on agro-products.”

While India’s export to China were only $ 13.52 billion in 2012-13, its imports from that country aggregated to $ 54.3 billion, leaving a trade deficit of $ 40.78 billion.

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Is the Indian economy stronger than commonly assumed?

images (5)“When the facts change, I change my mind,” said John Maynard Keynes. Will the revised data on gross domestic product (GDP) for 2010-11 make us do likewise?

For the revised GDP estimates issued last week question popular descriptions of India’s growth slowdown, challenge estimates of a lowered potential output and possibly shed some light on the inflation-growth disconnect in 2012. The improved data has been computed from the dependable Annual Survey of Industries (ASI) rather than the notorious Index of Industrial Production (IIP); it compels us to revisit these issues and raises policy setting concerns.
The facts: India’s GDP growth for 2010-11 stands reworked to 9.3% instead of the earlier estimate of 8.4%—nearly one percentage point higher. Much of this increase comes from revised manufacturing sector growth—9.7% year-on-year, or 2.1 percentage points more. What’s more, the increase in the estimated growth for 2010-11 is itself built upon a 1.6 point increase in growth during the previous year (now 11.3% for 2009-10).
On the demand side, it was the capital stock growth that contributed 4.2 percentage points to the 10.5% real GDP growth (at market prices). Gross fixed capital formation growth is now placed at 14% year-on-year, nearly double the earlier measure of 7.5%, and a substantial jump over the 7.7% growth in 2009-10; this acceleration lifted the real gross capital formation rate to 40% in 2010-11, from 38.4% the previous year. The other demand component that has been revised is public consumption: growth in actual government expenditure was a more modest 5.9% in 2010-11 against the 8.2% recorded earlier and a big drop from the 14% growth in 2009-10.
The new facts challenge some hypotheses about the collapse of the India growth story. For one, the “policy paralysis” explanation that throttled investments and exacerbated supply constraints from 2010 weakens in the light of robust manufacturing growth and capacity creation in 2010-11. This may explain the sudden, sharp drop in growth to 6.2% in 2011-12, when scams emerged to dent business confidence, but not before.

Indian banks can be trusted: Survey

images (3)“What have you done to me lately?”

For banks around the world, the answer to that question seems to be the determining factor in whether banks are largely trusted. In countries whose financial systems did not blow up during the worldwide recession, trust has remained high. But in some European countries where the banks were generally viewed as having caused the crisis, trust plunged and has not recovered.

Online surveys of “informed publics” in 26 countries were conducted by people hired by Edelman, a public relations firm. Respondents were asked how much they trusted banks “to do the right thing,” on a scale of one – “do not trust them at all” – to nine – “trust them a great deal.” In the 2013 survey, conducted in October and November and released this week at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, more than two-thirds of the respondents in seven areas – all but one of them in Asia – thought the banks were worthy of trust. They were Indonesia, India, Malaysia, China, Hong Kong, Singapore and Mexico.

At the other end of the spectrum, fewer than a third of the respondents in six countries – all in Europe – thought bankers could be trusted. They were Ireland, Spain, Germany, Britain, the Netherlands and Italy.

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Indonesia: IPOs ride economic growth

20120207171513093A flurry of initial public offerings (IPOs) planned for December and early 2013 highlight how firms in Indonesia are trying to harness bullish domestic and global confidence to fund plans for expansion.

Currently leading the pack is Indonesia AirAsia, whose planned IPO hopes to raise some Rp1.7trn ($175.78m) in early 2013. The aviation firm is closely followed by state-owned plantation firm Perkebunan Nusantara’s Rp1.5trn ($155.1m) listing, also scheduled for 2013, and state-run construction company Waskita Karya’s Rp1.2trn ($124.08m) December IPO.

The Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) saw two IPOs in December, bringing the total number of listings for 2012 to 23. This is down on the 24 IPOs seen in 2011, but continues to underline international sentiment over the vast archipelago’s private equity prospects.

A survey conducted by private equity firm Coller Capital saw nascent Asian economies, such as Indonesia and Vietnam, favoured by one-fifth of investors over the more mature markets found in other Asian countries, including China and India.

Northstar Pacific Partners, a local partner of global investor TPG Capital, for example, raised $800m in 2011 to invest in Indonesian companies. Other large firms, such as Starwood Capital Group, are circling in search of deals, according to reports from the Wall Street Journal.

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Indian economy has done well with lower taxes: Praful Patel

According to The Economic Times,

praful_patelIn an interview with ET Now (Supriya Shrinate), Praful Patel, Heavy Industries Minister, shares his views on Indian economy, diesel price deregulation and taxes for the super rich. Excerpts:
What is your main focus area?

I think the main focus which we should be emphasising is on infrastructure. We have got to get the power sector right. We have to make sure that gets back on track because it has really cost us a lot of, I would say, goodwill. We have got to get the coal sector right. We got to get the power sector right, plus our other infrastructure sectors like roads.

You may not be the biggest but you are the most trusted UPA ally. How it has been for allies like you to standby some really tough decisions?

India is going to achieve a lot in the long run due to good, sound economic policies. At least as far the NCP is concerned, we have always been very rational and very supportive of the economic reforms.

India Inc, especially the auto sector, is very-very nervous. They believe taxes could be raised on diesel cars, that is an obvious conclusion people are drawing, I think demand will take a little bit of a hit because of diesel deregulation. How are you smoothening frayed nerves?

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India Seeks to Lift Inflows by Raising Debt Limit to $75 Billion

Indian-Prime-Minister-Manmohan-SinghAccording to Bloomberg’s V. Ramakrishnan & Jeanette Rodrigues, India took a step to spur capital inflows and avert a debt-rating downgrade by raising a limit on foreign investment in rupee bonds by $10 billion to $75 billion.

The nation boosted the cap on holdings of government debt yesterday to $25 billion from $20 billion while an ownership ceiling for corporate notes was increased to $50 billion from $45 billion, according to a statement on the Reserve Bank of India’s website. The rupee erased a 0.4 percent loss after the announcement. Bonds were little changed.

 Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has boosted efforts to revive Asia’s third-largest economy since mid-September, cutting fuel subsidies and opening up more industries to overseas investment, after Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Ratings warned the nation’s investment-grade rating is at risk. The move to spur debt inflows comes after the rupee slid 3.9 percent last quarter as the current-account deficit widened to $22.4 billion.“This will help increase inflows to India in the short-and medium-term, especially as sentiment towards the economy has been improving,” said Siddharth Mathur, strategist at UBS AG in Singapore. “But this is just a single measure that may help at the margin. It isn’t a silver bullet. I wouldn’t overplay its significance as India’s structural current-account deficit needs structural solutions.”

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Emerging Stocks Slip on IMF Growth Outlook, China Economy

According to Bloomberg’s News  Anuchit Nguyen and Victoria Stilwell, Emerging-market stocks dropped, led by industrial companies, as the International Monetary Fund cut its global growth forecasts and a leading index for China’s economy rose at a slower pace in December.

LG Household & Health Care Ltd. (051900), a South Korean maker of cleaning and personal care products, tumbled the most since 2008 after its profit forecast missed estimates. Hindustan Unilever Ltd. (HUVR) plunged in Mumbai after Credit Suisse Group AG, CLSA Asia- Pacific Markets and Nomura Holdings Inc. cut their recommendations. China Merchants Holdings International Co. (144) sank the most in 11 weeks in Hong Kong. Brazilian paper maker Klabin SA (KLBN4) surged toward a record high.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Index of developing-nation stocks retreated 0.2 percent to 1,076.51 by 1:08 p.m. in New York, while its 100-day volatility dropped to the lowest level since October 2005. The world’s economy will expand 3.5 percent this year, less than the 3.6 percent forecast in October, the IMF said today as it also reduced outlooks for Brazil and India. A gauge for China’s economy gained 0.4 percent in December, compared with a 1.1 percent increase in the previous month.

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IMF: Risks to India’s Financial System Appear Manageable

According to The Wall Street Journal’s Sudeep Jain, MUMBAI–India‘s banks are facing a deterioration in their asset quality and higher liquidity pressures, but the risks to the stability of the financial system appear manageable, the International Monetary Fund said.

“The combination of a sharp credit expansion and a more recent economic slowdown is putting pressure on banks’ asset quality, especially for infrastructure and priority-sector lending,” the IMF said Tuesday in its Financial System Stability Assessment Update on India.

Indian banks expanded loans at a rapid pace before the financial crisis of 2008-09, when the economy was growing at close to double-digit rates. While the economy bounced back after the crisis, growth has once again slowed in recent quarters to its lowest in nearly a decade. This has affected customers’ ability to repay loans.

Priority-sector lending refers to the central bank’s rules requiring banks to apportion a certain percentage of their loans to sectors of the economy which, without regulation, may not get adequate access to funds. These include small-value loans to farmers, micro and small enterprises as well as for housing for the poor and for education

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Indonesia’s economic growth likely to remain strong in 2013

Indonesia-economy-jakarta-skyline

According to the Global Times, Indonesia’s economic outlook remains positive next year, thanks to a steady domestic consumption, a robust investment climate and the accelerated infrastructure development, media reported here on Wednesday.

Barclays Research predicts that Indonesia’s economy, the biggest in Southeast Asia, will expand 6.3 percent in 2013, the same pace as this year’s projected growth. Last year it grew 6.5 percent, the fastest pace since 1996.

Among the 10 emerging Asian nations covered by Barclays Research, the country will have the third-fastest economic growth after China and India next year.

Barclay’s prediction is below the Indonesia’s government forecast of 6.6 percent to 6.8 percent for 2013 after growing 6.5 percent this year.

It is also lower than the projection of the central bank, Bank Indonesia, of 6.6 percent to 6.7 percent for 2013.

Barclays Research, a part of the corporate and investment banking division of Barclays Bank, was less rosy on the global economic growth.

In its economic outlook report sent to clients on December 13, it trimmed its global gross domestic product growth projection for 2013 to 3.3 percent from 3.5 percent a quarter ago. It still maintained its 2012 growth estimate at 3.1 percent.

“Emerging economies have much better growth prospects than those for advanced economies,” Barclays Research was quoted by the Jakarta globe as saying.

“They are likely to continue contributing positively to global demand expansion, via incremental fiscal stimulus and monetary easing,” it said.

Perry Warjiyo, an executive director for the economy and monetary policy research at the Indonesian central bank, said that increased economic activity ahead of the elections in 2014 will boost economic growth next year.

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